Hi there, brand new to Numerai and have some basic questions, the first being:

What would the prediction format, (id,probability) be predicting based on the test data (id, era, f1…f21, tgt).

The docs say:

The probability column is the probability estimated by your model of the observation being of class 1.

Is it: given another feature (f22 or f23 or f67) what is the probability of it being of class 1 ? or is it the probability of it being of class 1 in the next era ? or something else ?

Thanks