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Yes @numerologist, you are right! Buying tokes/shares of a company that is trying things that has never been done before is a BET. If the company/fund doesn’t work. You can loose all your money. I guess everybody understands that. Buying NMR in this sense is certainly a bet on the future of the fund.
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As soon as the fund starts generating profits and AUM grows, things become more predictable. Numerai can easily ensure (with the profits at hand) that the token price doesn’t fall below a certain level. I assume, we have already reached that level: Investor Letter
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Supporting NMR buy buying it on the open market and stating it publicly are two different things. The latter has legal consequences.
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On the long run NMR has a chance to decorrelate from Bitcoin and represent the true supply/demand balance of the stock-market-prediction economy.
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