The sale prices will decrease over the course of the week, getting cheaper as the round approaches. Average submissions on Numerai are earning about 2.5% after the 1-month lockup period. Therefore, an average submission is worth $100 per 100 NMR staked assuming $40/NMR. Past performance does not predict future returns and there is high variation from week-to-week. Staking on other peoples’ model could work out very poorly. It’s a gamble.